Post-AI Jobs Will Go to a Tiny Sliver

I think people are missing the point on the whole AI Jobs-Pocalypse.

Yes, it will also create tons and tons of jobs while it removes tons and tons of others.

The problem isn't the actual numbers but who they're created for.

Previous knowledge worker jobs were available for a massive percentage of the global population. You could get a degree, or just be smart and driven, and get a job that was relatively stable and paid a decent wage.

This job explosion that @pmarca and others are talking about is absolutely real, BUT, those new jobs are going to go to a tiny sliver of the population.

They will go to the top few percent of the smartest, the most ambitious, and most AI-native people in the world.

Nobody knows how small that slice will be, but I think it'll be tiny (let's call it 1-5% of the US population).

So yes, it's not as simple as: "AI Will Take All the Jobs". Because tons of new jobs and businesses and companies will likely get spawned from all this.

But it's also not as simple as, "Don't worry there will be tons of new jobs." Because those new jobs are largely only going to be available to that small group of AI-pilled smart and high-agency people.

Both will happen at the same time: Massive layoffs for those who AREN'T in that category, and tons of opportunity for those who are.

Unfortunately it's still a bad situation for society.

No matter how you get there, it's never a good thing for 1-5% of the population to be thriving and talking about how cool AI is, and their cool vacations, and the conference they just spoke at, while everyone else is wondering about rent and food.