I many years ago I wrote a piece about why I didn’t think Craig was Satoshi, and a bunch of reporters hit me up immediately for interviews. I didn’t give any, and I deleted the post.
I think they were so interested because they had tracked down my interactions with him (not about bitcoin) from back in the day, which validated that I at least knew him to some degree.
Anyway, the gist of the piece that I removed was that—in my mind—the Craig I knew could not have been Satoshi for a very simple reason: Craig seeks attention, while Satoshi shunned it.
I’d guess that tens of thousands of people are smart enough to have invented bitcoin.
To be clear, in my few interactions with Craig he’s always been polite and decent. And I think he’s definitely brilliant enough to do the work. I could absolutely be wrong about this. He could actually be him.
Craig seems more like the brilliant quarterback, while Satoshi would be the loner in the corner.
I just don’t think so. Everything I understand about humans tells me it’s a hard no. Here are some inputs that brought me to that analysis.
Craig talked about himself constantly
Craig constantly sought attention
Craig loved to publicly debate with people
Craig loved to boast about his accomplishments
It looks like he talked about degrees he didn’t yet have
He’d do things like post photos of him working out on a rower
We was good looking and liked to show it off
I’m not a Satoshi expert, so I could be wrong about some of these.
In short, he was more like a brilliant cult leader. Where I see Satoshi as more like the following:
Wants to do good in the world
Does not want a single bit of the credit
Would rather remain anonymous if possible
Would happily die with nobody knowing it was him
Those don’t seem like the same two people.
So, no—I don’t have cryptographic evidence that Satoshi is someone else, or that Craig isn’t him. But everything I know about humans—and particularly male egos—tells me that Craig is almost the exact opposite of the real Satoshi.
If Craig really is perpetrating a con here, I wish he’d stop. And if he’s really Satoshi and I’m wrong, well, I hope he forgives me this analysis.
But I’d give that a 3% chance, if that.
TL;DR: Satoshi wouldn’t upload pictures of himself wearing spandex on a rowing machine.
There’s also the small point that if he were Satoshi he could just sign something using his private key.