Windows Vista: AKA Windows 95 Version 3 or 4
By Daniel Miessler on January 13th, 2006: Tagged as Apple | General | OS X | Windows
Is it just me or does the feature list for Windows Vista sound like that of Windows 95 with some extra stuff? Better search capabilities? Better Graphics? Come on. How hard is that to do comsidering where they’re coming from? The OS is fundamentally the same OS that came out in 95. It’s much more stable and much faster, but there haven’t been any breakthroughs — nothing remotely comparable to the difference between OS9 and OSX.
Look, I’m not saying Vista is going to suck. Hell, XP doesn’t suck; it’s a decent OS, all joking aside. But how does Microsoft hope to compete with likes of Apple when their brand spankin’ new flagship OS is essentially a reskinned Windows 95/98/2000/XP? I don’t think they can. I think they are going to flop big time on this one. Why on this one in particular? Because this time someone is waiting in the wings with an alternative.
I think 2006 is going to be the year of the Apple. Between the new Macs that just came out and the non-event that the Vista release is going to be, I’d say Microsoft is going to enter 2007 seriously back on its heels. Once people start seeing OSX en masse, and get the news that the hardware is no longer alien, I think people are going to start flocking to Apple. That’s not to mention the iPod effect.
Anyway, we’ll see. My prediction is like 15% marketshare by 2008.